Anttila-Hughes JK, SM Hsiang (2012). Destruction, Disinvestment, and Death: Economic and Human Losses Following Environmental Disaster. SSRN Working Paper.
Rising temperatures and changing precipitation patterns will lead to relative changes in agricultural production, possibly spurring rural to urban migration, or migration across borders to seek more favorable conditions.
Finds that unearned income and excess infant mortality in the year after typhoon exposure outnumber immediate damages and death tolls roughly 15-to-1, helping to indicate that economic and human losses due to environmental disaster may be an order of magnitude larger than previously thought and that adaptive decision-making may amplify, rather than dampen, disasters' social cost.Read
Bohra-Mishra, P, M Oppenheimer, and SM Hsiang (2014). Nonlinear permanent migration response to climatic variations but minimal response to disasters. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111(27).
Investigates the effects of variations in temperature and precipitation along with sudden natural disasters to infer their relative influence on migration, and suggests that permanent migration is influenced by climatic variations whereas episodic disasters tend to have much smaller or no impact on such migration.Read